Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the Philadelphia Phillies 4-2 on May 29, 2026, at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, a result the DiamondIQ model's estimate saw coming from the outset, with a pre-game home win probability of 68% that climbed to 100% by the final out. Los Angeles built its advantage incrementally, scoring in the second, third, and fifth innings before the Phillies managed a pair of runs late, making the outcome look closer on the scoreboard than the underlying numbers suggested.

The decisive moments came through the long ball, and Zack Wheeler absorbed the damage on all three. Max Muncy's second-inning home run off Wheeler added 7.0% in win probability for the Dodgers, and Shohei Ohtani followed with a third-inning shot that carried the game's single largest WPA swing at plus 8.3%. Will Smith extended the lead further in the fifth with another home run off Wheeler, worth plus 5.5% in win probability, leaving Philadelphia in a deep hole through the middle innings. Kyle Schwarber gave the Phillies life with a solo home run off Justin Wrobleski in the sixth, worth plus 5.3%, and Steward Berroa's eighth-inning single off Edgardo Henriquez added plus 6.6% as Philadelphia made a brief push, but the deficit proved insurmountable.

Justin Wrobleski was the standout performer by WPA, finishing at plus 16.4% for Los Angeles, with Tanner Scott and Alex Vesia contributing plus 6.3% and plus 3.6% respectively out of the bullpen. Offensively, Ohtani led all batters at plus 7.9% WPA and plus 1.1 RE24, with Muncy at plus 6.1% WPA and Berroa providing Philadelphia's best individual contribution at plus 4.6% WPA. Los Angeles finished with six hits to Philadelphia's three, committing one error while the Phillies played clean defensively.