San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

The Colorado Rockies walked off the San Francisco Giants 8-6 on May 29, 2026, at Coors Field in a game that was largely quiet until an explosive ninth inning flipped the outcome entirely. San Francisco carried a 6-3 lead into the bottom of the ninth, having pushed across two runs in the top half on a Rafael Devers triple off Juan Mejia that shifted win probability by 10.6 percentage points in the Giants' favor. That cushion proved illusory. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Colorado win, which opened the evening at 51 percent, had drifted to territory favorable to San Francisco heading into the final frame before Caleb Kilian surrendered back-to-back home runs that erased the lead entirely.

Ezequiel Tovar was the defining player of the night, delivering a two-run shot off Keaton Winn in the eighth inning worth plus-23.9 percent in win probability, then returning in the ninth to crush another home run off Kilian that added 42.9 percentage points to Colorado's chances. Hunter Goodman provided the decisive blow, a home run off Kilian that swung win probability by plus-54.0 percent and gave Colorado the lead for good. Tovar finished as the game's top performer by a wide margin, posting a cumulative WPA of plus-66.3 percent and an RE24 of plus-3.7, while Goodman contributed plus-54.8 percent WPA and plus-2.2 RE24. Bryce Eldridge was San Francisco's most productive offensive contributor at plus-16.2 percent WPA and plus-1.5 RE24, though his efforts were ultimately undone by the bullpen's collapse. The DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Rockies win closed at 100 percent, a complete reversal from what appeared to be a well-managed Giants victory through eight innings.