MLB Recap · May 26, 2026

Seattle Mariners at Athletics: Final Score & Recap

SEA4
Final
ATH1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
SEA0301000004110
ATH000000001140

The Story

The Seattle Mariners handed the Athletics a 4-1 defeat at Sutter Health Park on May 26, 2026, doing the bulk of their damage early and never relinquishing control. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 55 percent pre-game win probability favoring Oakland at home, but that figure collapsed steadily as Seattle built its lead, finishing at zero percent for the home side. The Mariners plated three runs in the top of the second inning and added one more in the fourth, while Oakland managed its lone run only in the final frame against a Seattle club that had long since secured the outcome. Seattle finished with 11 hits and committed no errors; Oakland managed just four hits across nine innings.

The second inning was where the game effectively turned. A Julio Rodríguez groundout was nonetheless the single highest-leverage positive swing for Seattle, adding 6.5 percent to the Mariners' win probability against Gage Jump as the inning's run-scoring sequence unfolded. Mitch Garver's double off Jump contributed another 5.9 percent swing in Seattle's favor in that same frame, helping manufacture the three-run outburst that defined the contest. On Oakland's side, Jeff McNeil's lineout to end the bottom of the second was the most damaging single play of the night, costing the Athletics 9.1 percent in win probability off Emerson Hancock. A Josh Naylor grounded-into-double-play in the fourth cost Oakland another 5.6 percent, and Lawrence Butler's groundout to close the ninth added 5.4 percent back to Seattle, underscoring how thoroughly Andrés Muñoz shut the door.

Emerson Hancock was the game's dominant individual performer by a considerable margin, posting a staggering plus-31.5 percent win probability added, a figure that reflects how consistently he suppressed Oakland's offense through the heart of the game. Among position players, Julio Rodríguez led Seattle's contributors at plus-9.8 percent WPA, while Victor Robles added plus-8.2 percent WPA alongside a positive 1.9 RE24, indicating meaningful run-environment value beyond win probability alone. Mitch Garver rounded out the top three offensive contributors at plus-5.9 percent WPA. José A. Ferrer and José Suarez each added modest positive value out of the bullpen to close things out cleanly.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025SEA bats firstFinalATH win %SEA win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54.9% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jeff McNeil Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Emerson Hancock
-9.1%
Julio Rodríguez Groundout
Top 2nd · off Gage Jump
+6.5%
Mitch Garver Double
Top 2nd · off Gage Jump
+5.9%
Josh Naylor Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Gage Jump
-5.6%
Lawrence Butler Groundout
Bot 9th · off Andrés Muñoz
+5.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Julio Rodríguez+9.8%-0.2 RE24
Victor Robles+8.2%+1.9 RE24
Mitch Garver+5.9%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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