MLB Recap · May 26, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

AZ7
Final
SF5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
AZ030001210780
SF101000111591

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the San Francisco Giants 7-5 at Oracle Park on May 26, 2026, completing a road win that the DiamondIQ model's estimate had pegged at just a 61 percent pre-game probability for the visiting side. Arizona jumped on the board early with a three-run second inning and never relinquished the lead for long, though San Francisco kept the game competitive with a steady stream of baserunners that kept the outcome in doubt deep into the night.

The decisive swing came in the top of the seventh inning, when Ketel Marte launched a home run off Erik Miller that shifted win probability by plus-15.5 percent in Arizona's favor, expanding what had been a narrower cushion into a two-run advantage the Giants could not fully erase. San Francisco had its best opportunity to respond in the bottom of the eighth, when Rafael Devers laced a double off Juan Morillo that moved the needle plus-10.6 percent for the home side. Devers had been a central figure throughout, though his strikeout against Eduardo Rodriguez in the fifth represented a minus-10.5 percent swing that blunted a potential Giants rally. Willy Adames had provided an earlier jolt with a triple in the third off Rodriguez worth plus-9.2 percent, but Arizona's pitching absorbed those threats. Paul Sewald closed things out by striking out Casey Schmitt in the bottom of the ninth, a result that added plus-14.4 percent to Arizona's side and sealed the final.

By the individual accounting the DiamondIQ model uses, Casey Schmitt led all batters with a plus-17.2 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.0, while Eric Haase contributed plus-9.8 percent WPA at plus-1.0 RE24 and Marte finished at plus-9.0 percent WPA. On the pitching side, Eduardo Rodriguez was the most impactful arm in the game despite being on the losing end, posting a plus-14.7 percent WPA figure that reflected how deep into jams he pitched Arizona before ultimately yielding. Tyler Mahle added plus-5.3 percent WPA for the Diamondbacks, while Morillo finished at minus-0.5 percent. Arizona's errorless defense held against a Giants lineup that collected nine hits but finished unable to convert enough of them into runs.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalSF win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 38.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Ketel Marte Home Run
Top 7th · off Erik Miller
+15.5%
Casey Schmitt Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Paul Sewald
+14.4%
Rafael Devers Double
Bot 8th · off Juan Morillo
+10.6%
Rafael Devers Strikeout
Bot 5th · off Eduardo Rodriguez
-10.5%
Willy Adames Triple
Bot 3rd · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+9.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Casey Schmitt+17.2%+1.0 RE24
Eric Haase+9.8%+1.0 RE24
Ketel Marte+9.0%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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