Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies blanked the San Diego Padres 3-0 at Petco Park on May 25, 2026, handing the Padres a shutout loss despite San Diego entering as a 62 percent favorite by the DiamondIQ model's estimate. The Phillies scored in the first inning on a single run, then broke the game open with two more in the seventh, while the Padres were held to five hits and never crossed the plate. Philadelphia finished with three runs on three hits and an error, while San Diego's five hits produced nothing against a stifling Phillies pitching effort.

The decisive blow came in the top of the seventh inning when Brandon Marsh drove a home run off Griffin Canning, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 22.7 percent in Philadelphia's favor and effectively ended any realistic path to a Padres comeback. Canning had already weathered a Bryce Harper groundout in the fourth that cost the Phillies 7.6 percent in win probability, but the Marsh homer proved insurmountable. On the San Diego side, Manny Machado grounded into a double play in the bottom of the third off Jesús Luzardo, a moment that swung 12.7 percent against the Padres, and Rodolfo Durán's strikeout in the second off Luzardo cost another 9.8 percent, compounding the Padres' offensive futility at critical junctures.

Jesús Luzardo was the game's dominant individual performer by far, posting a plus 42.6 percent WPA figure that reflected just how thoroughly he contained the Padres lineup. Marsh led Phillies hitters with a plus 18.8 percent WPA and plus 1.1 RE24, while Fernando Tatis Jr. contributed a plus 16.9 percent WPA and a team-best plus 1.5 RE24 on the offensive side, matching Kyle Schwarber's plus 1.5 RE24. Orion Kerkering and Brad Keller also added positively out of the Philadelphia bullpen, combining for plus 11.5 percent WPA to close out the shutout.