MLB Recap · May 24, 2026

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox: Final Score & Recap

MIN6
Final
BOS5

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIN1020030006121
BOS0103000015111

The Story

The Minnesota Twins took down the Boston Red Sox 6-5 at Fenway Park on May 24, 2026, in a game that was tighter than the final margin suggests. The DiamondIQ model opened the day with Boston holding a 47% win probability, and Minnesota chipped away at that edge inning by inning before the model's estimate settled at 0% for the Red Sox by the final out. The Twins built their advantage through two key offensive bursts, plating two runs in the third and three more in the sixth, while Boston answered with three runs in the fourth and a late run in the ninth that made things uncomfortable but not enough.

The decisive shift came in the top of the sixth, when Brooks Lee singled off Garrett Whitlock in a spot the DiamondIQ model valued at a swing of plus 24.1% win probability, the single largest play of the game by that measure. Lee finished as the game's top offensive performer, accumulating a combined plus 31.9% WPA and plus 2.1 RE24, numbers that reflect his outsized influence on the Twins' winning margin. The Red Sox had their best chance to respond in the bottom of the eighth, when Wilyer Abreu ripped a double off Taylor Rogers that registered a plus 17.2% win probability swing, and Abreu ended the night as Boston's most impactful bat at plus 22.4% WPA. However, Masataka Yoshida's flyout in the same frame cost the Red Sox 16.4 percentage points of win probability, and reliever Yoendrys Gómez, who recorded a plus 20.6% WPA, was central to extinguishing that threat.

On the mound, Minnesota's bullpen carried the game home with authority. Yoendrys Gómez led all pitchers by WPA, followed by Anthony Banda at plus 13.3% and Eric Orze at plus 8.8%, a trio that collectively neutralized Boston's late-game chances. Ceddanne Rafaela's flyout to end the ninth, a play the model valued at plus 16.7% win probability from the Red Sox perspective given how close the situation remained, underscored just how much pressure the Twins' relievers had to navigate. Minnesota finished with 12 hits to Boston's 11, and while both teams committed one error, it was the Twins who executed when their win-probability leverage was highest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIN bats firstFinalBOS win %MIN win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 47.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Brooks Lee Single
Top 6th · off Garrett Whitlock
+24.1%
Wilyer Abreu Double
Bot 8th · off Taylor Rogers
+17.2%
Ceddanne Rafaela Flyout
Bot 9th · off Travis Adams
+16.7%
Masataka Yoshida Flyout
Bot 8th · off Yoendrys Gómez
-16.4%
Willson Contreras Home Run
Bot 4th · off Bailey Ober
+16.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Brooks Lee+31.9%+2.1 RE24
Wilyer Abreu+22.4%+1.0 RE24
Jarren Duran+9.0%-0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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