Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| AZ | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | 9 | 13 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks rolled past the Colorado Rockies 9-1 at Chase Field on May 24, 2026, in a game that was never particularly close. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving Arizona a 70 percent chance of winning at home, and that estimate moved steadily toward certainty as the D-backs piled up runs early. Arizona posted two runs in the first inning and then broke the game open with a four-run second, pushing the model's win probability to effectively insurmountable levels before Colorado had registered much of a threat. The Rockies managed their lone run in the eighth inning, finishing with six hits and an error against nine hits and a clean defensive performance from the home side.
The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the second inning, which produced three of the game's five largest win-probability swings. Ketel Marte delivered a double off Jose Quintana that added 4.2 percentage points to Arizona's chances, and Aramis Garcia followed with a single off Quintana worth another 4.7 points. Nolan Arenado's flyout in that same frame, perhaps counterintuitively, registered as the single largest swing of the game at plus-5.7 points, reflecting how the surrounding context of that at-bat shaped the run-expectancy landscape. On the Colorado side, Ezequiel Tovar grounded into a double play in the second inning against Ryne Nelson, a play that subtracted 3.8 points from the Rockies' already slim win probability.
Among the individual performers, Marte finished as Arizona's top contributor by WPA at plus-5.5 percent with a RE24 of plus-2.2, while Corbin Carroll posted the game's best RE24 at plus-3.5 alongside a WPA of plus-4.6, reflecting his consistent presence in high-leverage situations throughout the lineup. Arenado finished second in WPA among position players at plus-5.4 percent. On the mound, Ryne Nelson paced the pitching staff with a WPA of plus-3.2, keeping Colorado's offense in check across his outing and giving the D-backs exactly the kind of start their early offensive burst deserved.