New York Mets at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Miami Marlins shut out the New York Mets 4-0 on May 24, 2026, at loanDepot park, delivering all four of their runs in the bottom of the ninth inning to complete a dominant pitching performance. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Miami as a 59 percent pregame favorite, and that figure climbed steadily through eight scoreless frames before reaching 100 percent at the final out.

The game turned decisively in the bottom of the ninth against Mets reliever Devin Williams. Christopher Morel delivered the pivotal blow first, a double that added 17.5 percent to Miami's win probability and broke the scoreless deadlock. Heriberto Hernández followed with a home run off Williams that shifted win probability an additional 15.9 percent, effectively sealing the outcome. Hernández finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus-19.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-3.0, while MJ Melendez contributed plus-10.6 percent WPA and Morel added plus-6.4 percent. On the New York side, the costliest moments came from Tyrone Taylor's groundout in the top of the ninth, which cost the Mets 18.2 percent in win probability off Pete Fairbanks, and Marcus Semien's double play ball in the sixth that subtracted another 10.6 percent.

Miami's pitching staff was the story through the first eight innings. Christian Scott led all pitchers with plus-30.0 percent WPA, supported by Michael Petersen at plus-17.0 percent and Fairbanks at plus-13.5 percent. The Marlins held the Mets to five hits and committed one error while generating nine hits of their own, though they needed only the final inning to do their scoring damage.