Cleveland Guardians at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians shut down the Philadelphia Phillies 3-1 at Citizens Bank Park on May 24, 2026, handing the home side a defeat that the DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected completely by game's end, dropping Philadelphia's win probability from a pre-game 45% to 0%. Cleveland broke through in the fifth inning when Steven Kwan singled off Andrew Painter, a swing worth +12.1% in win probability that got Cleveland on the board. The Phillies answered with a Brandon Marsh triple off Tim Herrin in the bottom of the seventh, a +13.7% win-probability play that briefly tightened the contest and accounted for Philadelphia's lone run. But Travis Bazzana answered decisively in the top of the eighth, launching a home run off Jonathan Bowlan that swung win probability by +16.7%, effectively putting the game beyond reach. Cade Smith then closed out Philadelphia in the bottom of the ninth, with Trea Turner's strikeout registering as a +14.4% win-probability shift that sealed the outcome.

On the individual side, Bazzana was the game's most impactful offensive performer, finishing with a +18.1% WPA and a +1.5 RE24, his home run proving to be the decisive blow. Trea Turner posted a +17.0% WPA despite a -0.3 RE24, his plate appearances late in the game carrying significant leverage for the Phillies even as they came up empty. Steven Kwan contributed a +12.0% WPA and +0.8 RE24, his fifth-inning single setting the tone for Cleveland's offensive output. On the mound, Parker Messick was the standout performer across both clubs, generating a +23.9% WPA, with Hunter Gaddis adding +15.4% to further stabilize the Cleveland pitching effort. The Guardians collected nine hits against no errors, while Philadelphia's one error compounded a six-hit afternoon that never produced enough to overcome Cleveland's crisp execution.