Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| TOR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - | 5 | 11 | 1 |
The Story
Toronto defeated Pittsburgh 5-2 at Rogers Centre on May 23, 2026, with the Blue Jays turning a coin-flip contest into a decisive victory largely on the strength of a three-run sixth inning. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with a 52 percent home win probability, but by the time the final out was recorded that figure had climbed to 100 percent, a trajectory driven almost entirely by what unfolded in that pivotal sixth frame.
The game's single most impactful play came in the bottom of the sixth, when Jesús Sánchez laced a double off Paul Skenes that shifted win probability 15.4 percentage points in Toronto's favor. Ernie Clement followed with a single off Skenes good for another 9.3 points of swing, compounding the damage and effectively breaking the game open. Pittsburgh had briefly answered at the top of the same inning, where Marcell Ozuna's double off Patrick Corbin carried a 15.2-point swing for the Pirates, keeping their hopes alive momentarily before Toronto's response buried them. Jhostynxon Garcia drew a walk off Braydon Fisher in the seventh to add 4.8 points of win probability for Pittsburgh, but the deficit proved insurmountable. Henry Davis's pop out in the second inning off Corbin was the game's most damaging negative swing for the Pirates at 4.9 points, an early missed opportunity that foreshadowed the offensive struggles to come.
Jesús Sánchez finished as the game's top performer by win-probability contribution, posting a plus-20.6 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.3, underscoring how central his sixth-inning double was to the outcome. Ozuna was the Pirates' most productive bat at plus-11.0 percent WPA and plus-1.1 RE24, while Bryan Reynolds added a modest plus-3.9 percent WPA and plus-0.5 RE24. On the mound, Patrick Corbin led all pitchers with a plus-17.5 percent WPA, with Braydon Fisher contributing plus-5.0 and Adam Macko adding plus-2.7 in support. Toronto's pitching staff collectively held Pittsburgh to five hits, while the Blue Jays collected eleven of their own in a balanced and efficient performance.