MLB Recap · May 23, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers: Final Score & Recap

LAD11
Final
MIL3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD00040003411101
MIL300000000350

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers handed the Milwaukee Brewers a lopsided 11-3 defeat at American Family Field on May 23, 2026, flipping what opened as a Milwaukee-favored contest into a runaway. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Milwaukee entering with a 54 percent win probability, but that figure collapsed to zero by the final out as Los Angeles scattered 10 hits across a dominant performance on the road.

The decisive blow came in the fourth inning when Teoscar Hernández connected on a home run off Robert Gasser, a swing that generated the single largest win-probability shift of the game at plus 30.2 percent in the Dodgers' favor. That one sequence effectively broke open what had been a competitive early contest, given that Milwaukee had shown some life in the first inning when Sal Frelick's single off Roki Sasaki moved the needle 7.2 percent toward the home side. Los Angeles answered by systematically pulling away, adding three runs in the eighth on a Will Smith single off DL Hall that contributed another 10.0 percent swing, and then plating four more in the ninth to set the final margin. Andrew Vaughn's groundout in the seventh, which cost Milwaukee 8.7 percent in win probability against Kyle Hurt, illustrated how thoroughly the Brewers' comeback attempts stalled.

Hernández finished as the game's most impactful performer by a wide margin, posting a plus 35.2 percent WPA and a plus 4.2 RE24, numbers that reflect both his home run and continued production throughout the lineup. Freddie Freeman added a plus 13.0 percent WPA contribution, while the Los Angeles bullpen locked down the late innings with Grant Anderson leading Dodgers pitchers at plus 11.8 percent WPA, followed closely by Kyle Hurt at plus 9.7 percent and Alex Vesia at plus 7.9 percent.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalMIL win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.7% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Teoscar Hernández Home Run
Top 4th · off Robert Gasser
+30.2%
Will Smith Single
Top 8th · off DL Hall
+10.0%
Andrew Vaughn Groundout
Bot 7th · off Kyle Hurt
-8.7%
Miguel Rojas Flyout
Top 2nd · off Robert Gasser
-8.5%
Sal Frelick Single
Bot 1st · off Roki Sasaki
+7.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Teoscar Hernández+35.2%+4.2 RE24
Freddie Freeman+13.0%+1.8 RE24
Andy Pages+5.1%+0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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