Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| AZ | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies handed the Arizona Diamondbacks a 3-2 defeat at Chase Field on May 22, 2026, completing the comeback against a team the DiamondIQ model had given a 67% chance of winning before first pitch. Colorado scratched across single runs in the fifth, eighth, and ninth innings to overcome an Arizona club that had taken a 2-0 lead through four frames. The Rockies finished with nine hits and committed no errors, while Arizona managed seven hits without blemish in the field but could not hold the lead late.
The pivotal sequence of the game unfolded across the final two innings and was anchored by the DiamondIQ model's two largest win-probability swings. In the bottom of the eighth, Ildemaro Vargas grounded into a double play off Antonio Senzatela, a moment that shifted win probability by 17.0 percentage points against Arizona and effectively stalled any chance of cushioning the lead. Colorado then seized control in the top of the ninth when Chad Stevens singled off Ryan Thompson for a 28.1-point swing in the Rockies' favor, plating what proved to be the go-ahead run. The game's single largest play came moments later, in the bottom of the ninth, when Adrian Del Castillo popped out against Senzatela with the tying run on base, a 31.6-point swing that ended Arizona's final threat and sealed the win.
Among individual performers, Del Castillo led all batters with a 25.5% WPA despite the negative outcome for Arizona, a reflection of how much leverage surrounded his final at-bat. Chad Stevens contributed 22.2% WPA and a 0.2 RE24, while Sterlin Thompson was quietly the engine of the Colorado offense, posting 17.8% WPA and a 1.0 RE24 on the strength of a hit by pitch in the fifth and a double in the ninth, both off Ryan Thompson. On the mound, Tomoyuki Sugano led Colorado's pitching staff with 14.1% WPA, followed by Michael Soroka at 10.1% for Arizona in a losing effort. The DiamondIQ model leans toward the game's outcome as having been shaped decisively by those late-inning sequences rather than any sustained offensive dominance by either club.