MLB Recap · May 19, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres: Final Score & Recap

LAD5
Final
SD4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD200011001560
SD202000000461

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers defeated the San Diego Padres 5-4 at Petco Park on May 19, 2026, completing a comeback in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Padres win dropped from a 53 percent pre-game probability to zero by the final out. Los Angeles scored twice in the first inning, surrendered two runs in the bottom of the first and two more in the third, then chipped away with single runs in the fifth, sixth, and ninth to take the decision. San Diego finished with one error against the Dodgers' clean fielding night, and both clubs tallied six hits.

The swing plays told the decisive story. Andy Pages delivered a sacrifice fly in the top of the ninth off Mason Miller that shifted win probability 31.3 points in Los Angeles's favor, giving the Dodgers their one-run cushion heading to the bottom of the frame. That lead then survived its most dangerous moment when Fernando Tatis Jr. grounded out against Will Klein to end the game, a play that swung 31.6 points toward the Dodgers by closing the door on San Diego's final threat. Earlier, Miguel Andujar had provided the Padres their biggest lift with a third-inning home run off Emmet Sheehan worth 18.1 points of win probability, while Freddie Freeman's sixth-inning home run off Jeremiah Estrada added 13.6 points for Los Angeles before Freeman's strikeout against Adrian Morejon in the eighth briefly cost the Dodgers 11.5 points.

By cumulative WPA, Tatis Jr. led all position players at plus-33.6 despite his groundout serving as the game's final out, a reflection of how much danger the Padres had generated before that moment. Pages finished at plus-24.7 and Andujar at plus-19.5, the latter also leading position players with a RE24 of plus-1.7. Among pitchers, Tanner Scott paced the staff at plus-18.4, with Adrian Morejon adding plus-10.6 and Bradgley Rodriguez contributing plus-8.3 in San Diego's bullpen effort that ultimately fell one run short.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalSD win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 53.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Fernando Tatis Jr. Groundout
Bot 9th · off Will Klein
+31.6%
Andy Pages Sac Fly
Top 9th · off Mason Miller
+31.3%
Miguel Andujar Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Emmet Sheehan
+18.1%
Freddie Freeman Home Run
Top 6th · off Jeremiah Estrada
+13.6%
Freddie Freeman Strikeout
Top 8th · off Adrian Morejon
-11.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Fernando Tatis Jr.+33.6%-0.2 RE24
Andy Pages+24.7%-0.1 RE24
Miguel Andujar+19.5%+1.7 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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