Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies: Final Score & Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies edged the Cincinnati Reds 5-4 at Citizens Bank Park on May 18, 2026, in a game that remained competitive deep into the eighth inning before Bryson Stott delivered the decisive blow. The DiamondIQ model opened with a 56 percent home win probability for Philadelphia, but the Reds kept that figure in check through much of the contest. Cincinnati grabbed a 2-0 lead in the second inning and received a critical lift in the seventh when Sal Stewart connected on a home run off Brad Keller, a swing that added 15.6 percent to the Reds' win probability and pulled them within striking distance. Spencer Steer's double off José Alvarado in the top of the eighth, worth 18.5 percent in win probability, pushed Cincinnati ahead 4-3 and gave the Reds their best chance of escaping Citizens Bank Park with a win.

Philadelphia answered immediately in the bottom of the eighth. Alec Bohm opened the inning with a single off Graham Ashcraft that added 8.6 percent to the Phillies' win probability, helping set the stage. Then Stott crushed a home run off Ashcraft that swung the DiamondIQ model's estimate by 44.1 percent in Philadelphia's favor and put the Phillies ahead for good at 5-4. Stott finished as the game's top offensive performer at plus-43.2 percent WPA and plus-1.4 RE24, while Bohm was nearly as impactful at plus-23.7 percent WPA and plus-2.1 RE24, also accounting for a solo home run off Nick Lodolo in the sixth that had kept the Phillies within one. On the mound, Andrew Painter led Philadelphia's staff with plus-16.8 percent WPA, followed by Jhoan Duran at plus-15.2 percent as the Phillies preserved the one-run lead in the final frames.