MLB Recap · May 16, 2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

PHI6
Final
PIT0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
PHI320000010680
PIT000000000061

The Story

The Philadelphia Phillies completed a dominant 6-0 shutout of the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on May 16, 2026, erasing the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 56 percent home win probability down to zero by the final out. Philadelphia struck early and often, plating three runs in the first inning and two more in the second, essentially deciding the game before Pittsburgh had a chance to respond. The Pirates finished with six hits but were held scoreless across all nine innings, committing one error in a night when nothing went their way.

The win-probability swings tell the story of how quickly the game's decisive moments arrived and dissolved. Bubba Chandler's difficulties in the first two innings defined Pittsburgh's evening, with Adolis García's strikeout in the top of the first representing a swing of plus-7.2 percent in Philadelphia's favor, followed by Kyle Schwarber's double in the second adding another plus-5.6 percent. On the other side, Pittsburgh's inability to capitalize defensively was equally damaging, as Bryan Reynolds grounded out in the bottom of the first for a minus-8.5 percent swing against the Pirates, and Nick Gonzales followed in the second with a groundout that cost Pittsburgh another 12.2 percent in win probability, both outs recorded by Cristopher Sánchez.

Sánchez was the unambiguous architect of the victory, accumulating plus-36.4 percent in win-probability added across his outing, a figure that dwarfed every other contributor on either roster. Alec Bohm led Philadelphia's position players with plus-11.5 percent WPA, while García added plus-5.6 percent and Schwarber contributed plus-4.4 percent alongside a positive RE24 of plus-1.3, reflecting meaningful run-environment impact. Isaac Mattson and Evan Sisk each added plus-1.4 percent in relief to close out a clean eight-hit, zero-error performance for the Phillies.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025PHI bats firstFinalPIT win %PHI win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.2% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Nick Gonzales Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Cristopher Sánchez
-12.2%
Alec Bohm Pop Out
Top 2nd · off Bubba Chandler
+10.6%
Bryan Reynolds Groundout
Bot 1st · off Cristopher Sánchez
-8.5%
Adolis García Strikeout
Top 1st · off Bubba Chandler
+7.2%
Kyle Schwarber Double
Top 2nd · off Bubba Chandler
+5.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Alec Bohm+11.5%-0.3 RE24
Adolis García+5.6%-0.8 RE24
Kyle Schwarber+4.4%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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