Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates rolled past the Colorado Rockies 7-2 at PNC Park on May 14, 2026, a result that matched the DiamondIQ model's pre-game estimate of a 69 percent home win probability and ultimately pushed that figure to 100 percent by game's end. Pittsburgh struck early and often, plating three runs in the first inning and three more in the third to build a lead Colorado never seriously threatened. The Rockies managed a brief response with two runs in the fourth, but the game was effectively settled long before the final out.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the third, where Endy Rodríguez delivered a single off Victor Vodnik that represented the single largest win-probability swing of the contest at plus 6.2 percent, capping the inning's scoring and extending Pittsburgh's advantage. Ryan O'Hearn had set the tone even earlier with a first-inning home run off Chase Dollander, a blow worth plus 3.6 percent in win probability that immediately validated Pittsburgh's pre-game edge. Colorado's most promising counter came in the top of the fourth, when Troy Johnston doubled off Carmen Mlodzinski to move the needle plus 5.5 percent for the Rockies, though it amounted to only a temporary foothold in a game Pittsburgh controlled throughout. Johnston also appeared in the negative column, as his lineout in the second inning off Evan Sisk erased a scoring opportunity worth minus 3.5 percent for Colorado.

On the individual ledger, Rodríguez finished as the game's top performer by win probability added, contributing plus 8.8 percent alongside a RE24 of plus 1.9. TJ Rumfield added plus 7.1 percent in WPA, with his strikeout in the top of the first off Mason Montgomery accounting for plus 3.6 percent on its own by neutralizing a Colorado threat. Jared Triolo rounded out the top three Pittsburgh bats at plus 5.1 percent WPA and plus 1.6 RE24. On the mound, Carmen Mlodzinski led Pittsburgh's pitching staff with plus 6.5 percent WPA, followed by Evan Sisk at plus 5.2 percent, with both arms holding Colorado's lineup in check during critical stretches of the game.