Colorado Rockies at Pittsburgh Pirates: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 1 |
| PIT | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
The Story
The Colorado Rockies overcame a 67 percent pre-game home win probability assigned by the DiamondIQ model and rolled to a 10-4 victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on May 13, 2026, handing Pittsburgh a decisive defeat on their own field. Colorado scattered 11 hits and manufactured runs in bunches, while Pittsburgh managed only 6 hits against a Rockies pitching staff that held firm after an early Pittsburgh two-run second inning gave the home side brief momentum.
The fifth inning was the turning point by a wide margin, erasing whatever hope Pittsburgh held and swinging the game irreversibly in Colorado's favor. Mickey Moniak delivered the knockout blow with a home run off Mitch Keller that shifted win probability by 31.1 percentage points, the single most impactful play of the game. Jake McCarthy followed with a double off Keller that added another 19.2 percentage points, and Kyle Karros extended the damage with a single worth 12.8 points of win probability. That one inning produced six Rockies runs and effectively closed the contest. Henry Davis had provided Pittsburgh its best individual moment with an RBI fielder's choice in the second inning off Jose Quintana, worth 11.6 points, and Ryan O'Hearn hit a sixth-inning home run off Antonio Senzatela good for 11.2 points, but neither rally gained traction against Colorado's cushion.
Moniak finished as the game's most valuable offensive contributor with a cumulative WPA of plus-35.4 percent and a RE24 of plus-4.6, underscoring how thoroughly his fifth-inning home run reshaped the outcome. McCarthy added plus-16.7 percent WPA and plus-1.4 RE24, while Karros contributed plus-15.6 percent WPA and plus-1.0 RE24 to round out Colorado's top performers at the plate. On the mound, Senzatela led Rockies pitchers with plus-10.6 percent WPA, supported by Evan Sisk at plus-5.5 and Jaden Hill at plus-5.2, as the DiamondIQ model's estimate of Pittsburgh's win probability fell from 67 percent before first pitch all the way to zero by the final out.