Los Angeles Angels at Cleveland Guardians: Final Score & Recap

The Cleveland Guardians handled the Los Angeles Angels with relative ease on May 11, 2026, at Progressive Field, winning 7-2 behind a dominant early offensive performance. The DiamondIQ model entered the game estimating a 67 percent home win probability for Cleveland, and that figure climbed steadily as the Guardians did their damage in the first three innings, eventually reaching 100 percent by the final out. Los Angeles managed nine hits but could not convert them into meaningful run support, finishing scoreless through seven innings before pushing across single runs in the eighth and ninth against a Cleveland bullpen that was largely in control throughout.

The decisive stretch came in the second and third innings, where Cleveland built its lead through a series of productive at-bats against Angels pitching. Brayan Rocchio's single in the bottom of the second off José Fermin was the single biggest swing of the game, adding 10.3 percent to Cleveland's win probability. The third inning compounded the damage further, with David Fry drawing a walk off Kirby Yates for a 6.0 percent WPA gain, Daniel Schneemann following with a single worth 5.2 percent, and Travis Bazzana doubling for an additional 4.9 percent swing. Those three plays alone effectively buried the Angels' realistic path back into the contest. The only notable moment favoring Los Angeles came in the first inning, when José Ramírez lined out against Brent Suter, costing Cleveland 4.4 percent win probability, though the impact proved fleeting.

On the individual ledger, Rocchio finished as the game's top offensive contributor by WPA at plus-10.4 percent with a RE24 of plus-0.9, while Bazzana led all batters in run-environment impact with a RE24 of plus-2.3 to go with a WPA of plus-6.6 percent. Fry also graded well, posting a WPA of plus-7.2 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.0. On the pitching side, Brent Suter and Joey Cantillo each contributed plus-3.4 percent WPA for Cleveland, with Alek Manoah adding a modest plus-0.2 percent. The model leans toward crediting the Guardians' early-inning execution as the primary driver of an outcome that was effectively settled before the fourth inning began.