New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks: Final Score & Recap

The Arizona Diamondbacks handled the New York Mets 5-1 at Chase Field on May 10, 2026, a result the DiamondIQ model anticipated from the outset, assigning Arizona a 65 percent pre-game win probability that climbed to 100 percent by the final out. The Mets finished with four hits and committed three errors, while Arizona's pitching staff kept New York off the board until a lone run in the sixth inning made the score cosmetically closer than the game ever truly was.

The decisive damage arrived in two separate bursts. In the top of the sixth, Luis Torrens delivered a double off Eduardo Rodriguez that shifted win probability 14.0 percent in New York's favor, briefly injecting life into the Mets' half of the inning. Arizona answered emphatically in the bottom half against David Peterson, with Ketel Marte ripping a triple that swung win probability 12.7 percent toward the Diamondbacks, followed almost immediately by Ryan Waldschmidt's run-scoring single that added another 12.4 percent. Waldschmidt had already done damage in the second inning, when his double off Tobias Myers moved the needle 11.5 percent Arizona's way to account for the game's earliest meaningful scoring threat. Austin Slater's groundout in the top of the sixth, which erased 7.3 percent of New York's win probability, underscored how thoroughly the Mets squandered their one real chance to cut into the deficit.

Waldschmidt finished as the game's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, posting a combined plus-20.5 percent WPA and plus-2.0 RE24 across his two key hits. Torrens led all Mets batters at plus-14.4 percent WPA, though his contributions came in a losing effort. Eduardo Rodriguez paced Arizona's pitching staff with plus-13.3 percent WPA, a figure that reflects how effectively he neutralized New York's sixth-inning threat and kept the Diamondbacks' three-run cushion intact.