Seattle Mariners at Chicago White Sox: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
| CWS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | 2 | 5 | 1 |
The Story
The Chicago White Sox defeated the Seattle Mariners 2-1 on May 10, 2026, at Rate Field, with the DiamondIQ model's estimate moving from a 55 percent pre-game home win probability to a final certainty of 100 percent. The game was a tightly contested pitchers' duel through seven innings, with Seattle scoring the only run of the first half of the contest in the top of the first. Chicago answered with the decisive blow in the bottom of the eighth, when Randal Grichuk connected on a home run off Eduard Bazardo, a swing that added 21.9 percent to the White Sox win probability and provided both runs in what became a two-run inning.
The ninth inning distilled the tension of the game into a sequence of pivotal plays. Rob Refsnyder drew a walk off Seranthony Domínguez that swung win probability 21.9 percent in Seattle's favor, keeping the Mariners' hopes alive. However, Brendan Donovan grounded out to erase 20.7 percent of that momentum, and Cole Young's pop out to close the game cost Seattle another 22.9 percent, sealing the White Sox victory.
On the individual side, Grichuk led all batters with a 15.5 percent WPA and 0.5 RE24, while Connor Joe posted the top RE24 figure among position players at 0.9 to go with a 15.4 percent WPA. On the mound, Logan Gilbert was the game's most dominant force, accumulating 39.1 percent WPA to anchor the pitching performance for Seattle even in a losing effort, with Davis Martin adding 18.6 percent WPA and Domínguez contributing 15.2 percent WPA to close it out for Chicago.