Athletics at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
The Story
The Athletics defeated the Baltimore Orioles 6-2 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 9, 2026, handing Baltimore a loss in front of their home crowd. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Orioles holding a 43% chance of winning, but that figure eroded steadily and closed at 0% as Oakland built an insurmountable lead through the early and middle innings. The Athletics posted runs in the first, third, and fifth innings, then added a final tally in the ninth, while Baltimore managed only a two-run eighth that came far too late to threaten the outcome. Oakland finished with 11 hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore collected 9 hits but was unable to convert them into meaningful runs against a composed Athletics pitching staff.
The decisive moment of the game came in the top of the third inning when Brent Rooker connected on a home run off Shane Baz, a swing that shifted win probability by plus 22.4% in Oakland's favor and effectively put the Athletics in firm control. Baltimore's best opportunity to claw back came in the bottom of the fifth, when Gunnar Henderson delivered a double off Aaron Civale that nudged Baltimore's chances upward by 8.6%. However, the Orioles could not capitalize, as Adley Rutschman struck out and Pete Alonso and Samuel Basallo both flew out in sequence, costing Baltimore 6.3%, 5.8%, and 5.3% in win probability respectively, extinguishing any momentum from Henderson's hit.
Rooker finished as the game's most impactful offensive performer with a cumulative WPA of plus 22.9% and an RE24 of plus 2.5, anchoring the Athletics' attack from top to bottom. Nick Kurtz also contributed meaningfully with a plus 5.4% WPA and plus 1.2 RE24. On the mound, Aaron Civale was the standout, posting a plus 17.3% WPA as he navigated the fifth inning with runners on base and limited the damage to nil, making him the single most valuable player in terms of win probability added across both rosters. Hogan Harris and Scott Barlow provided additional support with WPA figures of plus 2.4% and plus 1.7% respectively, closing out a thoroughly controlled effort for Oakland.