Athletics at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
The Story
The Athletics handed the Orioles a 4-3 defeat at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on May 8, 2026, overcoming a Baltimore team that entered the day with a 45 percent DiamondIQ model win probability and ultimately saw that figure fall to zero. Oakland broke the scoreless tie with a three-run fifth inning, with Zack Gelof delivering the pivotal single off Kyle Bradish that swung win probability 12.1 points in the Athletics' favor. Jacob Wilson added an insurance run with a single off Trey Gibson in the top of the eighth, a hit that shifted the DiamondIQ model 14.2 points toward Oakland and proved critical when Baltimore mounted a late challenge.
Baltimore had its moments, particularly in the middle innings. Pete Alonso's fourth-inning home run off Jacob Lopez gave the Orioles an early 1-0 lead in a swing worth 11.8 percentage points in Baltimore's favor, but Oakland's fifth-inning outburst quickly erased that advantage. Adley Rutschman kept Baltimore alive with a solo home run off Lopez in the sixth, a blow carrying a 13.7-point win-probability swing that made it a two-run game and set the stage for the ninth.
The game's single largest probability swing came in the bottom of the ninth, when Hogan Harris induced a strikeout of Jeremiah Jackson, a sequence the DiamondIQ model valued at 18.8 points for Oakland, sealing the win. Rutschman finished as the top batter by WPA at plus-19.9 percent with a 1.6 RE24, while Wilson contributed plus-17.1 percent and 1.2 RE24 in a quieter but effective performance. On the pitching side, Joel Kuhnel led Oakland's relief corps with a plus-13.3 percent WPA contribution, with Scott Barlow adding 9.7 points as the bullpen preserved the one-run margin.