Boston Red Sox at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
The Story
The Boston Red Sox shut out the Detroit Tigers 4-0 at Comerica Park on May 6, 2026, a result that flipped the DiamondIQ model's estimate from a 58% pre-game probability of a Detroit win to a final figure of 0%. Boston scored all four of its runs in a concentrated early stretch, with the decisive damage concentrated in the third and fourth innings. The Red Sox finished with four hits and no errors while Detroit committed one error that proved costly, and Detroit's four hits produced nothing against a Boston pitching staff that never allowed a runner to score.
The game turned on a pair of plays against Jack Flaherty that the DiamondIQ model identified as the two largest single-play probability swings of the night. In the third inning, Caleb Durbin delivered a double off Flaherty that shifted win probability by plus 9.6 percentage points in Boston's favor, and a Carlos Narváez hit by pitch in the same frame added another plus 5.5 points. Then in the fourth, Narváez was at the center of the night's single biggest swing when a Detroit fielding error on a ball off Flaherty moved the needle plus 14.7 percentage points, pushing Boston further ahead. Narváez finished as the game's top offensive contributor with a combined plus 20.9% WPA and plus 1.7 RE24, while Durbin added plus 8.5% WPA. Detroit's best scoring opportunities came and went quietly, with Jace Jung's second-inning lineout off Sonny Gray representing the Tigers' costliest missed chance at minus 7.5% WPA.
Sonny Gray was the dominant force on the mound, posting the highest single-player WPA of the night at plus 22.5%, anchoring a Boston staff that received additional support from Tyler Samaniego at plus 7.7% WPA and Brant Hurter at plus 2.3%. Ceddanne Rafaela contributed modestly on the offensive side with plus 2.1% WPA and plus 0.3 RE24. The DiamondIQ model leans toward crediting Gray's performance as the structural backbone of Boston's victory, with Narváez providing the offensive moments that converted early opportunities into a lead that Detroit never threatened to overcome.