Baltimore Orioles at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap

The Baltimore Orioles handed the Miami Marlins a 7-4 defeat at loanDepot park on May 6, 2026, in a game that was never fully in hand despite a tied first inning. Both teams scored three runs in the opening frame, but Baltimore steadily pulled away from there, adding single runs in the fourth, fifth, seventh, and eighth innings while Miami's offense managed only one more run after that early flurry. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Miami a 51 percent chance of winning at home, but that probability eroded continuously as the Orioles built their lead, finishing at zero percent.

The decisive moments centered on Adley Rutschman, whose bat proved the most damaging force of the evening. His fourth-inning double off Eury Pérez swung win probability 12.9 percent in Baltimore's favor, and he followed that with another double off Dax Fulton in the seventh worth an additional 10.9 percent shift, giving him a combined WPA of plus-22.9 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.7 on the night. Dylan Beavers added a double off Pérez in the fourth worth 9.2 percent, while Blaze Alexander's triple off Fulton in the eighth contributed another 8.7 percent swing. Miami's best response came from Otto Lopez, whose seventh-inning double off Grant Wolfram registered plus-8.1 percent, but it proved insufficient to reverse the Orioles' momentum.

On the mound, Brandon Young was the standout contributor, posting a plus-23.9 percent WPA to lead all pitchers, with Anthony Nunez adding plus-9.3 percent in support. Rico Garcia was the lone Baltimore arm who ceded ground, finishing at minus-3.2 percent. Leody Taveras rounded out Baltimore's offensive contributors with a plus-12.4 percent WPA, giving the Orioles a well-distributed effort across both pitching and hitting that the Marlins ultimately could not match.