Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The Seattle Mariners defeated the Atlanta Braves 3-1 at T-Mobile Park on May 6, 2026, completing the win after the DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Seattle holding just a 33 percent chance of winning before first pitch. Bryan Woo was the dominant force for the Mariners, finishing as the game's top pitcher by a wide margin with a WPA of plus-38.3 percent, methodically limiting Atlanta's offense throughout his start. The Braves managed only four hits on the night and committed no errors, but their inability to string together damage against Woo and the Seattle bullpen kept them largely quiet until a late consolation rally.

Seattle built its winning margin through a pair of equally impactful swings. In the bottom of the third, Leo Rivas doubled off Martín Pérez to give the Mariners an early foothold, a hit worth plus-10.1 percent in win probability. Julio Rodríguez then extended that lead in the bottom of the sixth with a home run off Pérez that shifted the game's probability by plus-12.2 percent, pushing Seattle to what proved an insurmountable advantage. Atlanta's best moment came in the top of the eighth when Mike Yastrzemski singled off Eduard Bazardo, a play worth plus-7.1 percent in win probability that brought in the Braves' lone run and briefly tightened the gap to one.

Cole Young delivered the decisive blow in the bottom of the eighth, doubling off Didier Fuentes for a plus-12.2 percent swing in win probability that restored Seattle's two-run cushion and effectively closed the door on any Atlanta comeback. Young led all batters with a final WPA of plus-13.8 percent and a RE24 of plus-1.1, while Rodríguez finished at plus-10.8 percent. Cooper Criswell and José A. Ferrer each contributed positive WPA figures out of the bullpen as Seattle closed out the 3-1 victory without an error on either side.