MLB Recap · May 4, 2026

New York Mets at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

NYM4
Final
COL2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYM000004000440
COL000000200250

The Story

The New York Mets silenced Coors Field on May 4, 2026, defeating the Colorado Rockies 4-2 on a night when a single explosive inning proved to be the difference. The DiamondIQ model opened the game giving Colorado a 56% win probability at home, but that edge evaporated entirely by the final out. The Mets were held scoreless through five innings before erupting for all four of their runs in the top of the sixth, leaving the Rockies to chase a deficit they never fully closed.

The sixth inning was the pivot point of the game. Mark Vientos delivered a single off Jaden Hill that shifted win probability 15.2 points in New York's favor, opening the floodgates in a frame that also saw Carson Benge connect on a home run off Tomoyuki Sugano, a swing worth 13.7 points of win probability and the blow that effectively put the game out of reach. Colorado responded with two runs in the bottom of the seventh to make it a two-run game, and the Rockies threatened again in the eighth when Mickey Moniak laced a triple off Craig Kimbrel, a hit worth 13.3 points of win probability for the home side. Kimbrel then induced a strikeout of Tyler Freeman, a sequence that swung 11.4 points back toward New York, and Craig Kimbrel finished with a cumulative WPA of plus-13.3, making him the game's top pitching performer despite the drama. Devin Williams closed it out in the ninth, aided by Troy Johnston's strikeout representing a 14.4-point win-probability swing that sealed the final out.

Benge led all position players with a WPA of plus-17.3 and a RE24 of plus-1.2, anchoring the Mets offense in their decisive sixth-inning outburst. Johnston and Moniak also graded out as significant contributors by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, finishing at plus-14.4 and plus-14.0 WPA respectively. Austin Warren and David Peterson each added meaningful value on the mound, with Warren posting plus-10.3 WPA and Peterson contributing plus-5.5, as New York's pitching staff ultimately held the Rockies to two runs on five hits to complete the road victory.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYM bats firstFinalCOL win %NYM win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 55.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Mark Vientos Single
Top 6th · off Jaden Hill
+15.2%
Troy Johnston Strikeout
Bot 9th · off Devin Williams
+14.4%
Carson Benge Home Run
Top 6th · off Tomoyuki Sugano
+13.7%
Mickey Moniak Triple
Bot 8th · off Craig Kimbrel
+13.3%
Tyler Freeman Strikeout
Bot 8th · off Craig Kimbrel
-11.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Carson Benge+17.3%+1.2 RE24
Troy Johnston+14.4%-0.1 RE24
Mickey Moniak+14.0%+0.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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