MLB Recap · May 2, 2026

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap

ATL9
Final
COL1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
ATL2103200019120
COL001000000141

The Story

The Atlanta Braves routed the Colorado Rockies 9-1 at Coors Field on May 2, 2026, scoring in five of nine innings while holding Colorado to a single run on four hits. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado just a 26 percent chance of winning at home, and that number collapsed to zero as Atlanta's offense did its most decisive damage in the middle innings.

The turning point came in the top of the fourth, where Atlanta sent multiple hitters through against Chase Dollander to break the game open. Drake Baldwin delivered the pivotal blow, a double that added 8.3 percent to Atlanta's win probability and capped what became an inning in which the Braves plated three runs. Jorge Mateo followed with a single worth 5.3 percent WPA, and Eli White contributed another single at 4.7 percent, each extending the damage against Dollander in a sequence that effectively ended any realistic Colorado path back into the contest. The only moment Colorado threatened to keep things competitive came in the bottom of the third, when Jordan Beck doubled off Chris Sale for a 7.7 percent swing and Kyle Karros singled to extend the frame, but Sale limited the damage to one run.

Baldwin was the game's standout performer, finishing with a WPA of plus 11.9 percent and an RE24 of plus 3.8, making him the clearest individual driver of Atlanta's win by the DiamondIQ model's estimate. Mateo added 6.9 percent WPA, while Beck's double gave him 5.7 percent WPA on Colorado's side despite the team's inability to generate any further offense. Chris Sale earned a WPA of plus 4.3 percent for Atlanta on the mound, navigating the third-inning threat and keeping Colorado's lineup in check through his time on the bump.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025ATL bats firstFinalCOL win %ATL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 25.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Drake Baldwin Double
Top 4th · off Chase Dollander
+8.3%
Jordan Beck Double
Bot 3rd · off Chris Sale
+7.7%
Jorge Mateo Single
Top 4th · off Chase Dollander
+5.3%
Eli White Single
Top 4th · off Chase Dollander
+4.7%
Kyle Karros Single
Bot 3rd · off Chris Sale
+4.0%

Top Batters by WPA

Drake Baldwin+11.9%+3.8 RE24
Jorge Mateo+6.9%+0.8 RE24
Jordan Beck+5.7%-0.2 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →