The Chicago White Sox defeated the Los Angeles Angels 5-2 at Rate Field on April 28, 2026, in a game that was never truly in doubt after the middle innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the night giving the White Sox a 59% win probability, and that figure climbed steadily to 100% by the final out as Chicago's offense delivered timely damage against the Angels' pitching staff.
The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the fourth, when Drew Romo launched a home run off José Soriano that shifted win probability by +21.6 percentage points, the single largest swing of the contest. That blow extended what had already been a productive stretch for Chicago, as Colson Montgomery had opened the scoring in the second with a home run off Soriano worth +7.4 percentage points. The Angels briefly applied pressure in the top of the fourth when Jo Adell's single off Davis Martin generated a +9.6% swing, but Chicago answered immediately in the home half with a two-run frame to effectively close the door. Romo added a second home run in the sixth, this one off Brent Suter, for another +9.2% swing that pushed the game further out of reach.
Romo finished as the game's most impactful player by a considerable margin, accumulating +28.5% WPA and a RE24 of +3.0 to anchor the White Sox lineup. On the pitching side, Davis Martin led Chicago's staff with +9.7% WPA, followed by Sean Newcomb at +8.0%, as the two combined to keep the Angels' nine hits largely harmless. Mike Trout was the lone Angel to post a notable WPA figure at +10.4%, though Los Angeles could not string enough together to overcome Romo's two-homer performance.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.