The Detroit Tigers walked off the Milwaukee Brewers 5-4 at Comerica Park on April 23, 2026, in a game that shifted dramatically in its final frames. Detroit entered with a 54 percent pre-game win probability according to the DiamondIQ model, and while Milwaukee appeared to seize control with a three-run seventh inning, the Tigers methodically clawed back before Spencer Torkelson delivered the decisive blow. The Brewers had grabbed a 4-2 lead in the top of the seventh on the strength of Blake Perkins's double off Tarik Skubal, a swing that added 20.1 percent to Milwaukee's win probability. Brice Turang then grounded into a double play to kill the rally and cost the Brewers 17.4 percent, keeping the deficit manageable for Detroit.
The Tigers answered immediately, pulling within one on a Jahmai Jones home run off Angel Zerpa in the bottom of the eighth, a swing worth 23.6 percent in win probability. Milwaukee's best chance to extend the lead evaporated in the top of the ninth when David Hamilton grounded into a double play off Brant Hurter, a sequence that swung 21.7 percent back toward Detroit. Torkelson then ended it in the bottom of the ninth, hitting a walk-off home run off Abner Uribe that added 41.4 percent to Detroit's win probability and pushed the DiamondIQ model's estimate to 100 percent.
Torkelson finished as the game's most impactful batter at plus-35.0 percent WPA, with Jones close behind at plus-23.6 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.0. Hurter was the most valuable arm of the night at plus-21.7 percent WPA, preserving the lead long enough for Torkelson to deliver. Joey Ortiz contributed quietly for Milwaukee with plus-12.9 percent WPA and an RE24 of plus-0.9, part of a Brewers lineup that collected ten hits but could not hold the lead when it mattered most.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.