MLB Recap · April 21, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

LAD1
Final
SF3

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD000100000131
SF30000000-360

The Story

The San Francisco Giants defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-1 at Oracle Park on April 21, 2026, with all three Giants runs coming in the first inning and the game never seriously in doubt after that. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving San Francisco just a 28% chance of winning at home, but by the final out that figure had climbed to 100%, a swing almost entirely constructed in the earliest exchanges of the contest.

The decisive moment came from the pitching side rather than the offense. Landen Roupp was the central figure of the game, accumulating a model-leading +28.9% WPA by systematically neutralizing Dodgers threats. Alex Call proved the most damaging Dodgers hitter against his own team's chances, with a groundout in the second inning costing Los Angeles 14.3 percentage points of win probability and a double-play grounder in the fourth costing another 17.2 points, the single largest swing of the night. Hyeseong Kim's walk off Roupp in the fourth inning represented the Dodgers' brightest moment, adding 9.8 points of win probability, but the rally went nowhere. Erik Miller and Ryan Borucki each added to San Francisco's bullpen ledger, contributing +6.7% and +6.4% WPA respectively as the Giants held Los Angeles to one run on three hits with an error.

Among Giants position players, Luis Arraez led the way at +11.4% WPA despite a neutral RE24 of 0.0, his flyout off Yoshinobu Yamamoto in the second inning generating 12.2 points of win probability in a sequence that reinforced the Giants' early cushion. Drew Gilbert contributed +9.9% WPA on a similar flyout off Yamamoto in the first. Los Angeles managed its lone run in the fourth inning but could not generate anything further against a Giants pitching staff that finished the game without an error and held firm across all nine frames.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalSF win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 28.3% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Alex Call Grounded Into DP
Top 4th · off Landen Roupp
-17.2%
Alex Call Groundout
Top 2nd · off Landen Roupp
-14.3%
Luis Arraez Flyout
Bot 2nd · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+12.2%
Drew Gilbert Flyout
Bot 1st · off Yoshinobu Yamamoto
+11.8%
Hyeseong Kim Walk
Top 4th · off Landen Roupp
+9.8%

Top Batters by WPA

Luis Arraez+11.4%+0.0 RE24
Hyeseong Kim+10.3%+1.1 RE24
Drew Gilbert+9.9%-0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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