The Los Angeles Dodgers routed the Colorado Rockies 12-3 at Coors Field on April 20, 2026, in a game that was never particularly close after the early innings. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Colorado only a 22% chance of winning at home, and that slim probability evaporated quickly as Los Angeles piled on runs in the second, third, and fourth innings before adding insurance late. The Dodgers finished with 15 hits and committed no errors, while Colorado was hampered by three errors of its own across an 11-hit effort that nonetheless could not generate consistent offense against Dodgers pitching.
The decisive moment by win-probability impact came in the top of the third inning, when Will Smith delivered a fielder's choice off Jose Quintana that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate by plus 13.4 percentage points in Los Angeles's favor. Tovar's groundout to lead off the bottom of the first had briefly offered Colorado a plus 9.0% swing, and Hernandez's groundout in the top of the first represented an 8.2% setback for the Dodgers' early chances, meaning the game's opening frames carried real swing potential before Los Angeles took firm control. Quintana was the central figure on the wrong side of those probability shifts, as the Rockies' starter factored into three of the five biggest plays of the game. Justin Wrobleski led Dodgers pitchers with a plus 4.5% win-probability contribution, keeping Colorado from mounting anything meaningful in the middle innings, including a Brenton Doyle flyout in the fifth that cost the Rockies a minus 5.6% swing.
Among position players, Will Smith led all batters with a plus 12.3% WPA on the day, while Miguel Rojas contributed plus 9.2% WPA alongside a plus 2.0 RE24, and Max Muncy posted a plus 8.6% WPA with the game's top RE24 mark of plus 3.4, reflecting his impact in run-environment terms beyond the score itself. The Dodgers' balanced offensive attack across 15 hits with zero errors underscored the clinical efficiency that produced a nine-run margin on the road at Coors Field.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.