MLB Recap · April 15, 2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Baltimore Orioles: Final Score & Recap

AZ8
Final
BAL5

Line Score

Team12345678910RHE
AZ00210110038120
BAL0110201000581

The Story

The Arizona Diamondbacks defeated the Baltimore Orioles 8-5 on April 15, 2026, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, rallying with a three-run tenth inning to complete the comeback. The DiamondIQ model's estimate had Baltimore as a 54% favorite before first pitch, but the Orioles' win probability fell to 0% by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly Arizona seized control in the extra frame.

The decisive sequence came in the top of the tenth, where Adrian Del Castillo delivered the knockout blow with a home run off Tyler Wells that swung Arizona's win probability by +33.7%, the single largest play of the game. That drive was set up in part by Geraldo Perdomo's sacrifice bunt, also off Wells, which shifted the probability by +16.4% and illustrated how methodically the Diamondbacks constructed the inning. Del Castillo had already been a central figure much earlier, reaching on a fielding error in the top of the third that moved Arizona's win probability by +18.5%, helping the visitors build an early cushion against Kyle Bradish. Baltimore's best moment came in the bottom of the fifth, when Jeremiah Jackson's home run off Eduardo Rodriguez produced a +25.2% swing in the Orioles' favor, and Leody Taveras's single in the seventh off Kevin Ginkel added a +14.6% bump to keep Baltimore within reach.

Del Castillo finished as the game's most impactful offensive player by a wide margin, posting a combined WPA of +52.7% and a RE24 of +2.6, while Jackson's +35.5% WPA and +2.0 RE24 made him Baltimore's most productive bat despite the loss. On the mound, Ryan Helsley led Arizona's relievers with +13.5% WPA, followed by Taylor Clarke at +10.9% and Anthony Nunez at +10.6%, as the bullpen collectively shut the door after the late Baltimore threat. Arizona finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while Baltimore's lone miscue in the third proved consequential in the final margin.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025AZ bats firstFinalBAL win %AZ win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Adrian Del Castillo Home Run
Top 10th · off Tyler Wells
+33.7%
Jeremiah Jackson Home Run
Bot 5th · off Eduardo Rodriguez
+25.2%
Adrian Del Castillo Field Error
Top 3rd · off Kyle Bradish
+18.5%
Geraldo Perdomo Sac Bunt
Top 10th · off Tyler Wells
+16.4%
Leody Taveras Single
Bot 7th · off Kevin Ginkel
+14.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Adrian Del Castillo+52.7%+2.6 RE24
Jeremiah Jackson+35.5%+2.0 RE24
Leody Taveras+14.9%+1.3 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
Open Game Center →