MLB Recap · April 4, 2026

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap

NYM9
Final
SF0

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
NYM0300501009121
SF000000000033

The Story

The New York Mets handed the San Francisco Giants a 9-0 shutout at Oracle Park on April 4, 2026, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 54 percent pre-game home win probability for San Francisco and driving it to zero by the final out. New York did its damage in clusters, plating three runs in the second inning and five more in the fifth to build an insurmountable lead against a Giants pitching staff that struggled to contain the Mets lineup across the middle frames. San Francisco managed just three hits on the night while committing three errors, compounding the difficulty for a team that never found an answer offensively against Clay Holmes and the Mets' pitching corps.

The game's single most consequential moment, by the DiamondIQ model's estimate, was a negative one for San Francisco: Patrick Bailey's groundout to end the bottom of the second shifted win probability by minus 10.7 percent from the Giants' perspective, representing a missed opportunity to answer New York's early three-run frame. The Mets continued to pull away in the fifth, where Tyrone Taylor's home run off Ryan Borucki added 6.0 percent in win probability, and Bo Bichette followed with a single off Landen Roupp that contributed another 5.6 percent swing. Francisco Lindor's strikeout in the second, recorded with a 5.9 percent favorable WPA for the Mets' pitching side, underscored how thoroughly New York controlled the at-bat outcomes throughout.

Clay Holmes was the clear standout performer, posting a 23.9 percent WPA as the anchor of the pitching effort. Among position players, Mark Vientos led all batters with a plus-8.4 percent WPA and a 1.0 RE24, while Tyrone Taylor paired his home run with the highest RE24 among hitters at plus-3.5. Luis Torrens contributed a quiet but meaningful plus-6.4 percent WPA showing, including a groundout in the second inning that registered a 4.6 percent swing in New York's favor as the Mets kept the pressure applied throughout the contest.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025NYM bats firstFinalSF win %NYM win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Patrick Bailey Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Clay Holmes
-10.7%
Tyrone Taylor Home Run
Top 5th · off Ryan Borucki
+6.0%
Francisco Lindor Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Landen Roupp
+5.9%
Bo Bichette Single
Top 5th · off Landen Roupp
+5.6%
Luis Torrens Groundout
Top 2nd · off Landen Roupp
+4.6%

Top Batters by WPA

Mark Vientos+8.4%+1.0 RE24
Luis Torrens+6.4%+0.7 RE24
Tyrone Taylor+6.0%+3.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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