Philadelphia Phillies at Colorado Rockies: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
The Story
The Philadelphia Phillies demolished the Colorado Rockies 10-1 at Coors Field on April 3, 2026, erupting for seven runs in the first inning and never surrendering control of the game. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with Colorado holding a 54% win probability at first pitch, but that figure collapsed almost immediately and finished at 0% as Philadelphia's offense overwhelmed Rockies starter Michael Lorenzen before the game was barely underway.
The decisive stretch came in the opening two innings, where the win-probability pendulum swung sharply and repeatedly in Philadelphia's favor. Kyle Schwarber's groundout in the top of the first, which registered a +12.0% win-probability swing, came in the context of the Phillies' seven-run frame and reflected how thoroughly that inning reshaped the game's trajectory. J.T. Realmuto added a flyout in the top of the second worth +12.7%, the single largest batting-team swing of the night, as Philadelphia continued to pile on. On Colorado's side, the Rockies' best moments were fleeting — Mickey Moniak's pop out in the bottom of the first cost the home team 12.5% in win probability, and Jake McCarthy's flyout in the second against Aaron Nola subtracted another 14.1%, underscoring how thoroughly the Phillies shut down any hint of a Rockies rally. Willi Castro's double off Nola in the second was Colorado's lone bright spot among the top plays, generating just +1.7%.
Aaron Nola was the game's dominant individual performer, accumulating +27.1% in win probability added as he stifled the Colorado lineup and held them to a single run. His command through the early innings was the foundation that protected the Phillies' cushion. Realmuto and Schwarber led Philadelphia's offensive contributors by WPA, with Schwarber also posting a +1.1 RE24, the best run-expectancy mark among position players on either side. The Phillies finished with 13 hits and committed no errors, while Colorado managed only five hits in a thoroughly one-sided afternoon at Coors.