MLB Recap · April 3, 2026

St. Louis Cardinals at Detroit Tigers: Final Score & Recap

STL0
Final
DET4

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
STL000000000050
DET00021100-4101

The Story

The Detroit Tigers handed the St. Louis Cardinals a 4-0 shutout at Comerica Park on April 3, 2026, holding them scoreless across all nine innings while collecting ten hits against five for the visitors. The DiamondIQ model entered the game with a 54 percent home win probability for Detroit and closed at 100 percent, a steady migration that reflected how thoroughly the Tigers controlled the contest.

The decisive moment came in the bottom of the fourth inning, when Dillon Dingler connected on a home run off Michael McGreevy, a swing that shifted win probability by plus-17.6 percent and effectively set the tone for everything that followed. The Cardinals had a chance to answer in the top of the fourth, but José Fermín's flyout off Framber Valdez carried a minus-8.6 percent swing, compounding the damage of Dingler's blow. Detroit added a run in the fifth on a Riley Greene single off Justin Bruihl, worth plus-6.8 percent, and Javier Báez extended the lead further with a single in the sixth off George Soriano, adding another plus-5.5 percent to the Tigers' ledger. The Cardinals' best moment came in the top of the eighth, when Alec Burleson drew a walk off Kyle Finnegan for a plus-5.5 percent swing, but Detroit's margin was already too wide to threaten.

By the individual DiamondIQ numbers, Dingler led all batters at plus-14.4 percent WPA, followed by Greene at plus-10.6 percent and Burleson at plus-6.8 percent despite being on the losing side. On the mound, Framber Valdez was the story, posting a plus-24.7 percent WPA to pace all pitchers in the game, with Will Vest and Kyle Finnegan adding smaller contributions in relief. St. Louis finished without a run despite five hits, never able to translate baserunners into meaningful threats against a Tigers pitching staff that the DiamondIQ model ultimately viewed as having made the outcome a formality well before the final out.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025STL bats firstFinalDET win %STL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 54% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Dillon Dingler Home Run
Bot 4th · off Michael McGreevy
+17.6%
José Fermín Flyout
Top 4th · off Framber Valdez
-8.6%
Riley Greene Single
Bot 5th · off Justin Bruihl
+6.8%
Alec Burleson Walk
Top 8th · off Kyle Finnegan
+5.5%
Javier Báez Single
Bot 6th · off George Soriano
+5.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Dillon Dingler+14.4%+0.1 RE24
Riley Greene+10.6%+0.6 RE24
Alec Burleson+6.8%+0.6 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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