New York Mets at San Francisco Giants: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYM | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
| SF | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | 7 | 13 | 0 |
The Story
The San Francisco Giants handed the New York Mets a 7-2 defeat at Oracle Park on April 2, 2026, turning what began as a competitive early exchange into a comfortable home victory. The DiamondIQ model opened the game with San Francisco as a modest 54% favorite, but that figure climbed to 100% by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly the Giants controlled the contest after the opening frames.
The decisive stretch came in the bottom of the first and third innings. San Francisco plated three runs in the first to seize an immediate lead, and New York briefly answered with a run in the top of the second when Mark Vientos hit a home run off Robbie Ray, a swing that carried a +4.6% win-probability impact. The response, however, was short-lived. In the bottom of the third, David Peterson surrendered back-to-back damaging plays: a Matt Chapman single that added +6.1% in win probability for the Giants, followed by a Harrison Bader sacrifice fly worth +7.4%. Those two plays effectively buried the Mets' chances of mounting any sustained challenge. A Casey Schmitt single off Sean Manaea in the fifth inning added another +4.9% swing, extending the margin further, while a Willy Adames ground into a double play in the second had earlier erased a promising New York opportunity at -4.6%.
Among the standout performers, Bader led all position players with a +9.7% WPA despite a modest +0.2 RE24, his sacrifice fly arriving at the highest-leverage moment of the game. Schmitt and Chapman each posted +1.4 RE24 alongside their strong WPA figures, demonstrating consistent production in run-creation contexts. On the mound, Robbie Ray was the story, generating +14.9% WPA as the Giants' starter, with Ryan Walker and Blade Tidwell contributing modest support in relief. San Francisco finished with 13 hits and committed no errors, while New York's lone miscue compounded an already difficult night at the plate, where the Mets managed just five hits against a Giants pitching staff that never relinquished control.