New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners: Final Score & Recap

The New York Yankees defeated the Seattle Mariners 5-3 at T-Mobile Park on April 1, 2026, handing the home side a loss that the DiamondIQ model's estimate watched swing from a 54 percent pre-game Seattle advantage all the way to zero. The Yankees carried a 1-0 lead into the sixth inning before Paul Goldschmidt delivered the decisive blow, a home run off George Kirby that shifted win probability by 28.0 percentage points in New York's favor and effectively broke the game open. That single swing accounted for the bulk of Goldschmidt's final line of plus-28.7 percent WPA and plus-2.2 RE24, making him the clear offensive catalyst of the contest. Seattle managed a two-run eighth inning, with Cal Raleigh's single off David Bednar nudging the Mariners' chances by 5.2 percentage points, but the rally fell short. In the bottom of the ninth, Cole Young's flyout against Bednar added 12.0 percentage points to New York's closing probability, sealing the outcome.

On the pitching side, Cam Schlittler was the Yankees' standout contributor, posting a remarkable plus-36.7 percent WPA as the most impactful arm of the evening. His performance on the mound helped absorb and extend the advantage Goldschmidt had created. Fernando Cruz added plus-1.6 percent WPA and José A. Ferrer contributed plus-0.8 percent as New York's bullpen held the Mariners' lineup in check. Seattle's error in the final line did not help their cause, and despite out-hitting the Yankees seven to six, the Mariners could not convert those opportunities at the critical moments. The Yankees finished with a clean defensive slate and the road victory.