Los Angeles Angels at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

The Chicago Cubs handled the Los Angeles Angels decisively at Wrigley Field on March 30, 2026, winning 7-2 in a game that was effectively settled by the third inning. Chicago scored three runs in the first and added three more in the third, building a 6-0 lead that the DiamondIQ model's estimate moved from a 54 percent pre-game home win probability all the way to 100 percent by the final out. The Angels' lone moment of resistance came in the seventh inning when they pushed across two runs, but the Cubs answered with one of their own to keep the margin comfortable, finishing with a 7-2 final and matching clean fielding on both sides at zero errors apiece.

The most consequential individual play came in the top of the second, where Josh Lowe's flyout off Edward Cabrera carried a negative 7.8 percent win-probability swing, extinguishing an Angels threat and allowing Chicago to protect its early cushion. The Cubs then did their most important offensive work in the third inning. Moisés Ballesteros singled off Ryan Johnson for a positive 6.8 percent win-probability swing, and Ian Happ followed with a home run off the same pitcher for an additional 6.4 percent. Michael Busch contributed a groundout that registered plus 5.8 percent, reflecting productive contact that kept pressure on the Angels bullpen.

Ballesteros led all position players with a combined WPA of plus 12.3 percent and an RE24 of plus 1.1, while Happ finished at plus 7.3 percent WPA and plus 1.0 RE24. On the mound, Edward Cabrera was the story, posting a plus 17.6 percent WPA to lead all pitchers and serve as the primary reason the DiamondIQ model favored the Cubs so heavily through the middle innings. Joey Lucchesi added a modest plus 1.3 percent in relief, while Colin Rea finished at minus 1.5 percent, the only Cubs arm to register negative value on the evening.