Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros: Final Score & Recap

The Houston Astros defeated the Los Angeles Angels 9-7 at Daikin Park on March 29, 2026, in a back-and-forth contest that saw the lead change hands before Houston ultimately pulled away. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving Houston a 54 percent home win probability, and by the final out that figure had reached 100 percent.

The game's defining moments came in waves. Los Angeles briefly seized control in the third inning, when Jorge Soler's double off Tatsuya Imai shifted win probability 13.7 percent in the Angels' favor and Jo Adell followed with a single that added another 9.0 percent. Zach Neto then delivered a fourth-inning home run off Roddery Muñoz that swung the model's estimate 17.8 percent toward Los Angeles, pushing the Angels to a 6-4 lead. Houston answered with a two-run fifth, Christian Walker's double off Chase Silseth adding 21.3 percent to the Astros' win probability and knotting the game. The decisive blow came in the bottom of the eighth, when Isaac Paredes doubled off Drew Pomeranz in a moment that shifted the DiamondIQ model's estimate 30.4 percent toward Houston and effectively closed out the Angels.

Paredes was the game's most impactful offensive player, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-37.7 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.8. Neto led the Angels with a WPA of plus-20.2 percent and an RE24 of plus-2.3 despite being on the losing side, while Walker contributed plus-19.3 percent WPA and plus-1.7 RE24 for Houston. On the mound, AJ Blubaugh posted the game's top pitcher WPA at plus-18.9 percent, followed by Sam Bachman at plus-15.3 percent and Steven Okert at plus-7.1 percent, a trio that collectively preserved the Houston advantage through the final innings.