The Los Angeles Angels shut out the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-0 on March 24, 2026 at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium, handing the home side a loss that dropped the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Dodgers victory from 70 percent before the first pitch to zero at the final out. All three Angels runs came in a single decisive fifth inning, leaving the Dodgers scoreless across all nine frames despite matching Los Angeles hit for hit at five apiece.
The fifth inning was the turning point, and the DiamondIQ model registered it as such in real time. Oswald Peraza's single off Shohei Ohtani moved the win-probability needle 11.4 percent in the Angels' favor, the single largest swing of the game from a batting event. The Dodgers then turned to Antoine Kelly, who issued a walk to Trey Mancini worth 9.8 percent and another to Jeimer Candelario worth 8.5 percent, steadily ceding leverage with each free pass. Santiago Espinal finished the night as the top Angels batter by WPA at plus 11.6 percent alongside a plus 0.3 RE24, while Mancini posted the most impactful run-expectancy contribution on the offensive side at plus 1.1 RE24.
The Angels' pitching staff protected that three-run cushion with authority. Ryan Johnson led all pitchers with a plus 23.1 percent WPA, aided by a ground-ball double play off Miguel Rojas in the sixth that cost the Dodgers 7.9 percent in win probability and a strikeout of James Tibbs III in the seventh worth a further 8.3 percent swing against the home side. Jack Kochanowicz contributed plus 19.8 percent WPA and Justin Wrobleski added plus 6.3 percent, combining to hold a Dodgers lineup that the model had favored heavily to a completely blank scorecard.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.