MLB Recap · March 22, 2026

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

MIL0
Final
CHC12

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
MIL000000000060
CHC03204030-12120

The Story

The Chicago Cubs routed the Milwaukee Brewers 12-0 at Sloan Park on March 22, 2026, delivering a dominant shutout in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate of a Chicago win climbed from 56% before first pitch all the way to 100% by the final out. The Cubs scattered their 12 runs across three productive innings, plating three in the second, two in the third, four in the fifth, and three in the seventh while holding Milwaukee to six hits and no runs across all nine frames.

The pivotal sequence came in the bottom of the second, where a Michael Busch groundout added 9.4% to Chicago's win probability, the single largest swing of the game, before Dansby Swanson followed with a single that added another 6.3%. Moisés Ballesteros contributed a double in the same frame, pushing the Cubs' advantage further before starter Chad Patrick could escape the inning. The third inning brought consecutive home runs from Alex Bregman and Ian Happ off Patrick, worth 6.0% and 4.3% respectively, effectively putting the game out of reach before it reached the midpoint.

Among the standout performers by the DiamondIQ model's metrics, Cade Horton led all pitchers with a WPA of plus 11.1%, anchoring the shutout on the mound. At the plate, Busch finished with a WPA of plus 8.7% and an RE24 of plus 0.2, while Bregman posted a WPA of plus 6.6% and the game's best RE24 among position players at plus 1.5. Swanson added a WPA of plus 6.0% and an RE24 of plus 0.8, rounding out a Cubs lineup that produced cleanly and without error against a Milwaukee side that never generated meaningful threat.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025MIL bats firstFinalCHC win %MIL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56% → final 100%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Michael Busch Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Garrett Hodges
+9.4%
Dansby Swanson Single
Bot 2nd · off Chad Patrick
+6.3%
Alex Bregman Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Chad Patrick
+6.0%
Ian Happ Home Run
Bot 3rd · off Chad Patrick
+4.3%
Bot 2nd · off Chad Patrick
+3.5%

Top Batters by WPA

Michael Busch+8.7%+0.2 RE24
Alex Bregman+6.6%+1.5 RE24
Dansby Swanson+6.0%+0.8 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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