MLB Recap · March 15, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers at Chicago Cubs: Final Score & Recap

LAD14
Final
CHC8

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
LAD41410000414121
CHC002000105880

The Story

The Los Angeles Dodgers routed the Chicago Cubs 14-8 at Sloan Park on March 15, 2026, in a game that was never particularly close despite the final margin suggesting otherwise. The DiamondIQ model entered the contest giving Chicago just a 27% chance of winning at home, and Los Angeles validated that skepticism immediately, plating four runs in the first inning and adding another in the second before the Cubs had found any real footing. A four-run third and a four-run ninth put the game firmly out of reach, leaving the model's estimate at 0% by the final out.

The decisive stretch came in the third inning, where Zach Ehrhard's triple off Jameson Taillon added 3.9% to the Dodgers' win probability, and Mookie Betts followed with a home run off Taillon worth an additional 3.7%. Those two plays in sequence effectively ended whatever slim hope Chicago had of climbing back. The Cubs' best opportunity to generate momentum came in the second inning, when Pedro Ramírez's lineout cost Chicago 6.0% in win probability, and Dansby Swanson's strikeout against Emmet Sheehan in the first cost another 3.4%, underscoring how thoroughly Los Angeles' pitching suppressed any early Chicago rally.

On the individual ledger, Ehrhard led all position players with a WPA of plus-5.8% and a RE24 of plus-1.8, while Alex Call contributed plus-4.5% WPA and plus-1.0 RE24 despite his lineout appearing in the negative plays list for the opposing team's framing. Betts added plus-3.3% WPA. Emmet Sheehan was the standout on the mound, posting a team-best plus-9.7% WPA to anchor a Dodgers pitching effort that held the Cubs largely in check through eight innings before Chicago scratched out five runs in a meaningless ninth. Los Angeles finished with 12 hits against Chicago's 8, committing one error to the Cubs' none.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025LAD bats firstFinalCHC win %LAD win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 27.5% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Pedro Ramírez Lineout
Bot 2nd · off Emmet Sheehan
-6.0%
Zach Ehrhard Triple
Top 3rd · off Jameson Taillon
+3.9%
Mookie Betts Home Run
Top 3rd · off Jameson Taillon
+3.7%
Alex Call Lineout
Top 2nd · off Jameson Taillon
+3.6%
Dansby Swanson Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Emmet Sheehan
-3.4%

Top Batters by WPA

Zach Ehrhard+5.8%+1.8 RE24
Alex Call+4.5%+1.0 RE24
Mookie Betts+3.3%+0.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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