The Colorado Rockies dismantled the Arizona Diamondbacks 13-2 at Salt River Fields at Talking Stick on March 12, 2026, turning what opened as a reasonably competitive contest into a one-sided affair by the middle innings. Arizona entered with a 44 percent win probability according to the DiamondIQ model's estimate, but that figure collapsed to zero as Colorado posted eight runs in the sixth inning alone and finished with 11 hits against no errors.
The decisive stretch began in the fifth inning, where Hunter Goodman's single off Nate Savino added 13.0 percent to Colorado's win probability, and TJ Rumfield followed with a single off the same pitcher that added another 12.2 percent, compounding the damage in a frame that put the game largely out of reach. The fourth inning featured a sharp swing in momentum as well: Brenton Doyle's triple off Drey Jameson added 9.0 percent to the Rockies' win probability, though Kyle Karros grounded into a double play on the same pitcher to swing 10.8 percent back toward Arizona, briefly slowing Colorado's build. Brett Sullivan's single off Brandyn Garcia in the sixth, worth 8.8 percent, contributed to the decisive eight-run inning that effectively ended the contest.
Among position players, Doyle led all batters with a combined WPA of plus-21.0 percent and a RE24 of plus-2.9, while Rumfield finished at plus-18.8 percent and plus-2.2 RE24 and Goodman added plus-8.0 percent and plus-1.5 RE24. On the mound, Taylor Clarke led Colorado's pitching staff with a WPA of plus-12.6 percent, followed by John Brebbia at plus-6.6 percent and Juan Morillo at plus-5.0 percent. The DiamondIQ model favors Colorado's performance as driven primarily by the fifth and sixth innings, where sequential contributions from Goodman, Rumfield, and Sullivan overwhelmed Arizona's bullpen.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.