The Los Angeles Angels shut out the Athletics 3-0 on March 7, 2026, at Las Vegas Ballpark, holding Oakland to six hits while committing just one error to Oakland's three. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with a 54 percent pre-game win probability favoring the home Athletics, but that number eroded to zero by the final out, reflecting how thoroughly the Angels controlled the contest from the middle innings onward.
The decisive sequence came in the fourth inning, when Oswald Peraza laced a double off Athletics pitcher Michael Kelly that swung the win probability 21.8 percent in the Angels' favor, the single largest play of the game by that measure. Los Angeles pushed across two runs in that frame, then added a third in the fifth on a Nick Madrigal single, also off Kelly, which carried an 8.3 percent win-probability shift. Those two plays effectively transferred the outcome from Oakland's hands to Anaheim's, and the Athletics never answered with a sustained offensive threat the rest of the way.
On the pitching side, Ryan Johnson led all pitchers with a WPA of plus-17.9 percent, while Gage Jump contributed plus-11.2 percent and Hunter Strickland added plus-6.3 percent in relief, the latter navigating a seventh-inning situation in which an Austin Wynns flyout cost the Athletics 5.2 percent win probability and a Jeff McNeil single added 5.9 percent for Oakland's cause. Michael Stefanic's strikeout to end the ninth, recorded against Ryan Zeferjahn, was worth a final 5.4 percent swing that closed the door. Peraza finished as the game's top batter by WPA at plus-18.1 percent with a RE24 of plus-1.3, followed by Madrigal at plus-8.7 percent and Luke Mann at plus-4.6 percent.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.