The Los Angeles Dodgers shut out the Kansas City Royals 6-0 on March 6, 2026, at Camelback Ranch, with all six runs coming in just two innings. The DiamondIQ model's estimate opened with the Dodgers holding a 54% win probability before first pitch and closed at 100% by game's end, a swing that unfolded quickly as Los Angeles staked its claim in the bottom of the first and pulled away in the fourth. Kansas City managed only three hits on the afternoon and never threatened seriously, finishing with a flat offensive line against a Dodgers pitching staff that held firm throughout.
The game's most consequential individual sequence belonged to Freddie Freeman, whose contributions accounted for two of the largest positive win-probability swings of the contest. A forceout in the bottom of the second added 5.3% to the Dodgers' win probability, and his single in the bottom of the fourth generated another 6.1%, finishing with a cumulative WPA of plus-13.6 and a RE24 of plus-2.1, the highest marks of any position player on either side. Teoscar Hernández contributed a plus-4.2% WPA showing, and Nick Senzel added plus-4.1% despite a negative RE24 of minus-0.8. On the Kansas City side, Blake Mitchell's groundout in the top of the second represented the single biggest negative swing of the game, costing the Royals 7.3 percentage points of win probability off Ryder Ryan.
On the mound, Ryder Ryan headlined the Dodgers' pitching performance with a plus-9.2% WPA, benefiting directly from that Mitchell groundout and the broader shutdown of a Royals lineup that generated little meaningful contact. Tanner Scott added plus-4.6% and Will Klein contributed plus-4.4%, the latter also recording the Kameron Misner strikeout in the top of the third that carried a minus-3.1% WPA impact for Kansas City. The Dodgers' 13-hit output against one error underscored a one-sided afternoon in which the DiamondIQ model's estimate moved decisively and never looked back.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.