The Texas Rangers shut out the Los Angeles Angels 6-0 at Tempe Diablo Stadium on February 23, 2026, scoring all six runs in just two innings to turn what opened as a competitive spring contest into a lopsided final. The DiamondIQ model entered the game giving the Angels a 54 percent chance of winning at home, but that probability collapsed entirely by game's end, finishing at zero percent.
The decisive swings came early and were driven heavily by win-probability movement. Jack Leiter set the tone for Texas on the mound, generating two of the game's most consequential plays against Los Angeles. Josh Lowe's flyout to end the bottom of the first shifted win probability by 8.9 percent in the Rangers' favor, and Christian Moore's ground into a double play in the bottom of the second represented the single biggest play of the game, swinging win probability 11.9 percent against the Angels. On the offensive side, Sam Haggerty delivered the most impactful Rangers hit of the afternoon, a single in the top of the fourth off Leonard Garcia that added 10.1 percent to Texas's win probability. Cam Cauley's strikeout to open the top of the first, off Chris Cortez, contributed an additional 6.7 percent swing, reflecting how quickly the Rangers established control of the probability model.
Individually, Haggerty was the Rangers' most valuable offensive contributor, finishing with a combined WPA of plus-16.7 percent and an RE24 of plus-1.6. Leiter was the standout performer overall, posting a WPA of plus-20.5 percent in his outing, and the DiamondIQ model's estimate consistently reflected the Rangers' dominance once Leiter began neutralizing the Angels lineup. Ezequiel Duran added plus-1.5 RE24, while Robert Garcia and Ryan Johnson provided additional pitching support with WPA figures of plus-4.9 and plus-2.1, respectively. Texas finished with seven hits and committed no errors; Los Angeles managed eight hits but could not convert any of them into runs against a Rangers pitching staff that held firm across all nine innings.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.