The Los Angeles Dodgers routed the Los Angeles Angels 15-2 at Tempe Diablo Stadium on February 21, 2026, putting up 16 hits and scoring in bunches across the first three innings before adding four more in the ninth to turn a competitive spring contest into a lopsided outcome. The DiamondIQ model had entered the game giving the home Angels a 54% win probability, but that number collapsed to 0% by the final out as Los Angeles methodically dismantled their crosstown rivals.
The decisive turning point came in the second inning, when a pair of strikeouts swung the game's leverage in opposite directions within moments of each other. In the top half, Shohei Ohtani's strikeout against Camden Minacci added 13.0% to the Dodgers' win probability, the single largest positive swing of the game from the batting team's perspective. That momentum carried into the bottom half, where Antonio Knowles answered by striking out Zach Neto, a swing of -13.5% against the Angels that effectively sealed the game's narrative before it was even halfway through. The first inning had set a similar tone, with Yoshinobu Yamamoto recording a strikeout of Yoán Moncada worth -8.0% to the Angels' chances, while Ryan Ward's strikeout off Ryan Costeiu added 6.7% for the Dodgers in the top of that frame. Andy Pages contributed further with a triple off Mitch Farris in the second, a play worth 3.7% in win probability and 1.3 in run expectancy added.
Among individual performers, Knowles led all pitchers with 13.5% WPA, and Yamamoto contributed 6.8% on the mound. Offensively, Ohtani paced the Dodgers with 13.7% WPA and Pages posted 4.2% WPA alongside his 1.3 RE24, while Ward finished at 6.1% WPA despite a RE24 of -1.4. The DiamondIQ model's estimate reflected a decisive Dodgers performance, and the final margin confirmed it in full.
Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.