MLB Recap · July 4, 2025

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers: Final Score & Recap

HOU18
Final
LAD1

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
HOU204011010018201
LAD010000000161

The Story

AI recap unavailable for archived games. The final score, win-probability story, biggest plays, and top performers are all shown below.

Win Probability

755025HOU bats firstFinalLAD win %HOU win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 56.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Jose Altuve Home Run
Top 3rd · off Ben Casparius
+12.4%
Christian Walker Home Run
Top 3rd · off Ben Casparius
+8.1%
Will Smith Home Run
Bot 2nd · off Lance McCullers Jr.
+7.4%
Freddie Freeman Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Lance McCullers Jr.
-6.7%
Tommy Edman Groundout
Bot 2nd · off Lance McCullers Jr.
-6.1%

Top Batters by WPA

Jose Altuve+13.0%+6.1 RE24
Will Smith+10.8%+1.9 RE24
Christian Walker+7.8%+4.1 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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