MLB Recap · August 24, 2024

Colorado Rockies at New York Yankees: Final Score & Recap

COL9
Final
NYY2

Line Score

Team123456789RHE
COL1140102009130
NYY001100000252

The Story

The Colorado Rockies handed the New York Yankees a decisive 9-2 loss at Yankee Stadium on August 24, 2024, erasing what the DiamondIQ model had estimated as a 74 percent pre-game home win probability for New York down to zero. Colorado built its advantage steadily, scoring in five of nine innings and doing its most significant damage in the third, when the Rockies plated four runs to push the lead out of reach. The visitors finished with 13 hits and committed no errors, while New York managed just five hits and was hurt by two errors of its own.

The game's most consequential stretch came in the early innings, where the tone was set on both sides of the ledger. Bradley Blalock was the central figure for Colorado on the mound, as his strikeout of Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the bottom of the first shifted win probability by 9.6 percent in the Rockies' favor, and his strikeout of Trent Grisham in the bottom of the second produced the single largest win-probability swing of the game at 12.7 percent. Meanwhile, Will Warren struggled against Colorado's lineup in the top half of those same frames, as strikeouts by Brendan Rodgers and Charlie Blackmon each added win probability for the Rockies, and Nolan Jones punctuated the third inning with a double worth 8.8 percent in win probability.

Among the offensive contributors, Jake Cave led all players with a WPA of plus-13.3 percent and a RE24 of plus-3.8, while Nolan Jones added plus-8.7 percent WPA and a RE24 of plus-1.6, and Michael Toglia contributed plus-7.2 percent WPA with a RE24 of plus-1.5. On the pitching side, Blalock was the game's most impactful performer by the DiamondIQ model's measure, finishing with a WPA of plus-23.9 percent, comfortably the highest mark of any pitcher on either staff.

Analysis generated by DiamondIQ's model.

Win Probability

755025COL bats firstFinalNYY win %COL win %
DiamondIQ model home win probability across the game (pre-game 73.8% → final 0%).

Biggest Plays by Win-Probability Added

Trent Grisham Strikeout
Bot 2nd · off Bradley Blalock
-12.7%
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Strikeout
Bot 1st · off Bradley Blalock
-9.6%
Nolan Jones Double
Top 3rd · off Will Warren
+8.8%
Charlie Blackmon Strikeout
Top 2nd · off Will Warren
+8.3%
Brendan Rodgers Strikeout
Top 1st · off Will Warren
+7.2%

Top Batters by WPA

Jake Cave+13.3%+3.8 RE24
Nolan Jones+8.7%+1.6 RE24
Michael Toglia+7.2%+1.5 RE24

Top Pitchers by WPA

Full box score, pitch data, and the play-by-play timeline
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