Arizona Diamondbacks at Miami Marlins: Final Score & Recap
Line Score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| MIA | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
The Story
The Arizona Diamondbacks rallied past the Miami Marlins 10-8 at loanDepot park on August 21, 2024, overcoming an early deficit in a game the DiamondIQ model had pegged as a strong road favorite, assigning Miami just a 34 percent chance of winning before first pitch. Arizona trailed heading into the seventh inning but blew the game open with a four-run frame that proved to be the decisive turn. The pivotal moment came when Lourdes Gurriel Jr. lashed a double off Andrew Nardi, a swing that shifted win probability by 34.3 percentage points in Arizona's favor and stood as the single most impactful plate appearance of the contest. That burst gave the Diamondbacks enough breathing room to absorb a late Miami push and hold on for the two-run victory.
Miami had its own moments of genuine leverage, particularly in the fourth inning when Cristian Pache connected on a home run off Jordan Montgomery, a swing worth 22.4 percentage points of win probability that briefly positioned the Marlins as serious threats. The eighth inning produced the game's most compressed sequence of momentum shifts: Vidal Bruján delivered a double off Joe Mantiply worth 21.8 percentage points for Miami, only for Jake Burger to ground out against Justin Martinez at the most damaging moment, costing the Marlins 18.7 percentage points and effectively ending their comeback bid. Geraldo Perdomo's home run off Emmanuel Ramirez in the top half of that same inning, worth 16.7 percentage points, had already widened the Arizona advantage before Miami could respond.
Gurriel finished as the game's top performer by WPA at plus 36.1 percent with a RE24 of plus 2.9, leading all batters in both categories. Bruján was the standout for Miami at plus 21.8 percent WPA despite the loss, while Perdomo contributed plus 16.3 percent WPA for Arizona. On the mound, Justin Martinez led all pitchers with plus 15.2 percent WPA in his critical eighth-inning work, with Kent Emanuel and Kevin Ginkel each adding plus 9.7 percent WPA in support. Arizona finished with 12 hits and committed no errors, while Miami stranded enough runners to allow what appeared a competitive game to slip away decisively.